Data
Live macro data we publish: the MacroInsight Macro Regime, 15 economic indicators and the week's economic calendar. Free, with sources and downloads.
Risk-off
MacroInsight Macro Regime
A 0–100 reading of market conditions across 36 assets, from risk-off to risk-on. Trend: Improving. Updated Nov 5, 10:24 AM ET.
Open the Macro Regime →Economic indicators All indicators →
Growth & labour
- Sahm rule recession indicator0.00 pp · September 2026
- US unemployment rate4.2% · September 2026
- Initial jobless claims194,000 · Oct 24, 2026
- Atlanta Fed GDPNow estimate3.7% · Q4 2026
Inflation
- CPI inflation (year over year)3.7% · September 2026
- Core PCE inflation (year over year)3.1% · September 2026
- 10-year breakeven inflation rate2.26% · Nov 4, 2026
Rates & curve
- 10-year minus 2-year Treasury spread0.32 pp · Nov 4, 2026
- 10-year minus 3-month Treasury spread0.69 pp · Nov 4, 2026
- Effective federal funds rate3.88% · Nov 3, 2026
- 10-year real yield (TIPS)2.65% · Nov 3, 2026
Financial conditions
- Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index−0.46 · Oct 30, 2026
- St. Louis Fed Financial Stress Index−0.52 · Oct 30, 2026
Money & dollar
Economic calendar Full calendar →
No more major releases this week. See the full calendar.