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CPI inflation (year over year)

3.7% Data for September 2026 · Updated Nov 5, 2026

US CPI inflation was 3.7% in September 2026, up 0.4 percentage points from the month before.

Over the past year it has risen by 0.7 percentage points. The latest reading is higher than 66% of all readings since January 1948. It was last this high in May 2026.

US recessions (NBER)
Latest
3.7%
1 month ago
3.4%
1 year ago
3.0%
Change over 1 year
+0.7 pp
History percentile
67th
History since
January 1948

What it is

The year-over-year percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers, a measure of the prices households pay for a basket of goods and services.

Why it matters for investors

Inflation shapes interest rates, wages, bond returns and the Federal Reserve's decisions. CPI is published earlier in the month than the Fed's preferred PCE measure, so it is often the first read on the month's inflation.

How to read it

The Fed's 2% goal is defined for PCE inflation, which tends to run a little below CPI. Compare this reading with core measures, which exclude volatile food and energy prices, to judge the underlying trend.

Method and sources

Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics, retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (series CPIAUCSL). We calculate the year-over-year change from the monthly index level. Figures are published with a lag and can be revised.

This product uses the FRED® API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.

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Questions

Still have a question? Get in touch.

How is year-over-year inflation calculated here?

We divide the seasonally adjusted index for the latest month by its value 12 months earlier and subtract one.

When is CPI released?

The Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes CPI monthly, usually in the second week of the following month.

Why does the Fed prefer PCE inflation?

PCE covers a broader range of spending and adjusts more quickly when consumers switch between goods, so the Fed defines its 2% target using PCE.

Educational and informational only. Not investment advice.