Atlanta Fed GDPNow estimate
The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow estimate is 3.4% for Q4 2026, up 0.2 percentage points from the previous quarter's estimate.
The latest reading is higher than 77% of all readings since July 2011. It was last this high in October 2025. Current status: growth.
- Latest
- 3.4%
- Previous quarter
- 3.3%
- 1 year ago
- 4.2%
- Change over 1 year
- −0.8 pp
- History percentile
- 79th
- History since
- July 2011
What it is
A running estimate of real GDP growth for the current quarter, at a seasonally adjusted annual rate, updated as new economic data are released.
Why it matters for investors
Official GDP data arrive weeks after a quarter ends. GDPNow gives a model-based read on growth in the meantime.
How to read it
Treat it as a nowcast, not a forecast: it has no judgment added, and it can move sharply early in a quarter when little data is available. It is not an official Federal Reserve forecast.
Method and sources
Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (series GDPNOW).
This product uses the FRED® API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
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