Tools › Indicators › Rates & curve

10-year real yield (TIPS)

2.64%Positive Data for Nov 4, 2026 · Updated Nov 6, 2026

The 10-year real yield is 2.64% as of Nov 4, 2026, down 0.28 percentage points from a month earlier.

Over the past year it has risen by 0.83 percentage points. The latest reading is higher than 98% of all readings since January 2003. It was last this high in October 2026. Current status: positive.

US recessions (NBER)
Latest
2.64%
1 month ago
2.92%
1 year ago
1.81%
Change over 1 year
+0.83 pp
History percentile
99th
History since
January 2003

What it is

The yield on 10-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS): the return investors earn above inflation for lending to the US government for 10 years.

Why it matters for investors

Real yields are the true cost of money. Higher real yields tend to weigh on assets whose value depends on distant cash flows, such as growth stocks, and on assets with no yield, such as gold.

How to read it

A rising real yield means tighter financial conditions in inflation-adjusted terms. Negative real yields, as in 2020 and 2021, mean investors are paid less than expected inflation.

Method and sources

Source: US Department of the Treasury, via the Federal Reserve, retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (series DFII10).

This product uses the FRED® API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.

Download CSV

Related indicators

Related news

The Open · free

The market, read before the bell.

What moved overnight, why it moved and what's next, in five minutes. Written by our desk, checked by a trader.

Plus our 25-minute training, free on sign-up

Questions

Still have a question? Get in touch.

What is a TIPS yield?

TIPS are Treasury bonds whose principal is adjusted for CPI inflation. Their yield is therefore a real, inflation-adjusted yield.

How does the real yield relate to the breakeven rate?

The nominal 10-year yield is roughly the real yield plus the 10-year breakeven inflation rate.

Why do gold investors watch it?

Gold pays no interest. When real yields rise, the opportunity cost of holding gold rises, and the two have often moved in opposite directions, though the relationship is not fixed.

Educational and informational only. Not investment advice.